Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003420 0.003589 0.003763 0.003954 0.004158 0.004371 0.004609
2025-05-04 0.003094 0.003344 0.003609 0.003913 0.004254 0.004624 0.005059
2025-05-11 0.002893 0.003187 0.003509 0.003888 0.004326 0.004818 0.005416
2025-05-18 0.002735 0.003060 0.003422 0.003860 0.004377 0.004973 0.005721
2025-05-25 0.002659 0.003016 0.003422 0.003921 0.004526 0.005242 0.006165
2025-06-01 0.002555 0.002931 0.003365 0.003909 0.004580 0.005393 0.006465
2025-06-08 0.002453 0.002842 0.003297 0.003877 0.004605 0.005502 0.006714
2025-06-15 0.002347 0.002742 0.003210 0.003814 0.004584 0.005551 0.006881
2025-06-22 0.002256 0.002656 0.003135 0.003762 0.004572 0.005605 0.007055
2025-06-29 0.002198 0.002608 0.003106 0.003764 0.004628 0.005747 0.007350
2025-07-06 0.002092 0.002497 0.002992 0.003652 0.004529 0.005679 0.007350
2025-07-13 0.002047 0.002459 0.002969 0.003657 0.004582 0.005815 0.007639
2025-07-20 0.002024 0.002450 0.002983 0.003711 0.004704 0.006051 0.008087
2025-07-27 0.001963 0.002391 0.002930 0.003673 0.004700 0.006112 0.008281
2025-08-03 0.001912 0.002343 0.002889 0.003650 0.004714 0.006196 0.008513
2025-08-10 0.001863 0.002295 0.002847 0.003624 0.004721 0.006270 0.008731
2025-08-17 0.001850 0.002293 0.002866 0.003681 0.004847 0.006520 0.009235
2025-08-24 0.001811 0.002257 0.002836 0.003669 0.004874 0.006625 0.009512
2025-08-31 0.001768 0.002213 0.002796 0.003640 0.004873 0.006686 0.009723
2025-09-07 0.001716 0.002156 0.002737 0.003582 0.004828 0.006678 0.009816
2025-09-14 0.001670 0.002107 0.002686 0.003534 0.004795 0.006686 0.009937
2025-09-21 0.001644 0.002083 0.002670 0.003536 0.004836 0.006811 0.010261
2025-09-28 0.001583 0.002011 0.002583 0.003433 0.004716 0.006676 0.010130